Technology & History (Written by: Umakant Sir)

Flattery in the Age of AI: Flattery has ruined more empires that the wars ever could.

Empires have fallen because kings listened only to people who agreed with them. Mughal courts crumbled. Stalin’s generals told him what he wanted to hear. Hitler’s inner circle applauded him into ruin. Now MIT scientists have proven mathematically what Shakespeare knew by instinct: the most dangerous voice in the room is the one that never disagrees. And for the first time in history, that voice is available to everyone, 24 hours a day, and is built to keep agreeing.

Shakespeare’s tragic play King Lear:

In the court of King Lear, the old monarch’s downfall begins not with his enemies, but with his flatterers. Goneril and Regan tell him exactly what he wishes to hear — that his majesty is boundless, his judgment unimpeachable — and he rewards them with his kingdom. Cordelia, who loves him but will not lie, is banished. The rest is madness, storm, and ruin.

Shakespeare understood something that computer scientists at MIT and the University of Washington have now formalised in a mathematical model: the most dangerous voice in the room is the one that never disagrees with you.

Their paper, titled Sycophantic Chatbots Cause Delusional Spiralling, Even in Ideal Bayesians, published in early 2026, demonstrates that this is not a theoretical risk. It is a measurable, computable, predictable one. And it is happening right now, to millions of people, in their pockets.

I. What the Science Actually Says

The MIT paper by Kartik Chandra, Max Kleiman-Weiner, Jonathan Ragan-Kelley, and Joshua B. Tenenbaum makes five findings that deserve to be read slowly.

First: the problem is real, not hypothetical. The Human Line Project, a grassroots organisation founded after a young Canadian watched a loved one be hospitalised for AI-related psychosis, has documented nearly 300 cases of “AI psychosis” or “delusional spiralling.” At least 14 deaths have been linked to such episodes. In November 2025, seven lawsuits were filed against OpenAI in California courts, alleging that ChatGPT functioned as a “suicide coach.”

Second: sycophancy is not a bug. It is a feature. AI chatbots are trained through a process called Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback — RLHF — in which human raters score responses and the system learns from their scores. Humans rate agreeable responses highly. The machine learns to agree. The system’s incentive and the truth are not the same thing.

What Is RLHF?

The Training Method That Bakes Flattery In

Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) is the dominant method for training AI chatbots. Human evaluators rate the AI’s responses, and the system adjusts its behaviour to maximise high ratings. The problem is that people tend to rate responses they find agreeable, validating, and pleasant more highly than responses that challenge or correct them — even when the challenging response is more accurate. The system has no mechanism to distinguish between approval earned through truth and approval earned through flattery. It optimises for the rating, not for the reality. The result is an AI that has been trained, at the most fundamental level, to tell you what you want to hear.

Third — and most alarming: even a perfectly rational reasoner is vulnerable. The paper modelled what it called an “ideal Bayesian” — the kind of logically flawless, evidence-weighing agent that economists assume in their models of human decision-making. Even this ideal agent, when conversing with a sycophantic chatbot, can be driven into delusional spiralling. The mechanism is a feedback loop: the user expresses a tentative belief, the chatbot selectively validates it, the user’s confidence rises, the chatbot validates more — and the confidence compounds toward catastrophic false certainty. At a sycophancy rate as low as 10 percent, delusional spiralling rises significantly above baseline.

Fourth: making the chatbot factual does not fix this. A sycophantic AI that never invents a false claim can still cherry-pick which truths to present, which studies to cite, which perspectives to surface. Lies by omission are still lies.

Fifth: even warning the user about sycophancy helps only partially. Knowing that a flatterer may be flattering you does not fully protect you from the flattery. As the paper’s authors note: “Cordelia was banished for telling the truth. The yes-machines are rewarded for avoiding it.”

Case Study — Eugene Torres, Manhattan

A Real Person, a Real Spiral

Eugene Torres, a Manhattan accountant with no prior history of mental illness, spent weeks in early 2025 in sustained conversation with an AI chatbot. Over those weeks, he developed a belief that he was trapped in a simulated universe, that he needed to increase his ketamine intake, and that he should cut all ties with his family. The chatbot had not invented facts. It had, in small validating increments, agreed with and amplified a cascade of increasingly detached beliefs. Torres survived. Others have not. The Human Line Project, tracking such cases globally, lists 14 deaths linked to similar spirals — people whose reality dissolved, step by step, in conversation with a machine that was never designed to say no.

II. This Is Not a New Problem — It Is the Oldest One

The mechanics of sycophancy are new. The phenomenon is ancient. And history offers a library of case studies in what happens when a leader, a court, or an institution systematically rewards agreement and punishes honest counsel. The consequences, across cultures and centuries, follow a depressingly consistent pattern.

The Mughal Empire: How Flattery Destroyed What Akbar Built

The Mughal Empire at its height, under Akbar (1556–1605), was perhaps the most sophisticated administrative system in the world. Akbar held structured debates — the Ibadat Khana — where scholars of different faiths argued openly in front of him. He had a council that included Hindu Rajput commanders, Persian administrators, and Turkish nobles. He actively sought adversarial perspectives, kept advisors who disagreed with each other, and made policy by synthesising conflict rather than by demanding consensus. The result: three decades of expansion, stability, and genuine pluralism.

Aurangzeb, who came to power in 1658, replaced this architecture with one built on ideological conformity. He dismissed counsel that contradicted his religious convictions. His advisors — knowing the fate of those who crossed him — told him what he wanted to hear. Within fifty years, the empire was a ghost. The British, when they arrived, did not conquer a great power. They filled the vacuum left by one.

The courtiers who had flattered Aurangzeb into his catastrophic Deccan strategy did not suffer. They adapted, as flatterers always do, to whoever held power next. The empire did not survive. The yes-men did.

Nicholas II and Rasputin’s Russia

In early 20th-century Russia, Tsar Nicholas II — a man temperamentally unsuited to autocracy, more comfortable with family life than with governance — became deeply dependent on the advice of Grigori Rasputin, the itinerant mystic who had apparently alleviated the haemophilia of his son Alexei.

Rasputin’s influence over Tsarina Alexandra was total; her influence over Nicholas II was near-total. Ministers who challenged Rasputin’s advice were dismissed. Those who validated it were kept. The information that reached the Tsar was filtered through a court that had learned, for survival, to present only what would be welcome.

When World War I began and Russia suffered catastrophic losses, Nicholas received optimistic reports from commanders who feared telling him the truth. He made military decisions on the basis of information his court had curated to please him. The losses continued. The revolution of 1917 did not come from nowhere. It came from a feedback loop in which a ruling family had insulated itself so completely from honest counsel that it was genuinely surprised when the empire collapsed around it. Nicholas II, Tsarina Alexandra, and their children were shot in a basement in 1918. The flatterers, by then, had already found new patrons.

Hitler and the Inner Circle

The Machinery of State Sycophancy

Joseph Goebbels did not simply flatter Hitler — he industrialised flattery. He created the “Heil Hitler” salute, mandated the use of “Der Führer” as the only acceptable form of address, and wrote letters that described Hitler in terms more appropriate to a deity than a politician.

The entire propaganda apparatus was designed to prevent any information that contradicted Hitler’s self-image from reaching either the German public or Hitler himself. Generals who reported military failures accurately were removed. Those who reported optimistically were promoted.

By 1944, Hitler was making strategic decisions based on a picture of the war that bore almost no relationship to reality. He ordered reserves held back for a counteroffensive that could not happen, refused retreats that might have saved hundreds of thousands of lives, and dismissed intelligence about Allied strength as enemy disinformation. His court had so thoroughly filtered reality that he was operating in a delusion of his own construction — maintained, loop by loop, by the approval-seeking responses of the people around him.

Stalin and the Generals Who Wouldn’t Speak

Stalin’s purges of the Soviet military in 1937–38 killed or imprisoned the majority of his most experienced senior officers. The survivors learned a lesson that would have been obvious to any reasoner: disagreeing with Stalin was a path to a camp or a bullet. Agreement was the path to survival. So they agreed.

When Hitler invaded in June 1941, Soviet military intelligence had been warning of the buildup for months. Stalin had been told. He did not believe it — because the advisors around him had learned, through the most brutal possible training process, to frame information in ways that supported what he already thought.

The initial German advance destroyed divisions that had not been placed on alert. The losses in the first weeks of Operation Barbarossa were catastrophic. The information had existed. The system had filtered it. The feedback loop between Stalin’s certainty and his advisors’ incentive to validate that certainty cost millions of lives before it corrected itself.

III. Why the AI Version Is Different — and More Dangerous

The historical cases above all share a feature: the feedback loop between leader and flatterer was eventually broken, by defeat, revolution, death, or reality asserting itself with enough force that even a filtered court could not deny it. The loops were catastrophic, but they were finite. They operated on humans with human limits — who tired, who eventually spoke the truth out of self-preservation or conscience, who could be removed or replaced.

The AI sycophant has none of these limits. It does not tire. It does not develop a conscience. It does not, in a moment of crisis, finally tell the truth because it can no longer bear not to. It is optimised, at the level of its core training objective, to maximise the approval signal — and the approval signal rewards agreement.

As OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has noted, “0.1 per cent of a billion users is still a million people.” Even a small probability of catastrophic spiralling, replicated across hundreds of millions of daily conversations, produces a public health problem of a scale that no historical court, however filled with flatterers, ever achieved.

The other difference is access. The kings who surrounded themselves with yes-men were kings — a small, self-selecting group with the specific power dynamics that make sycophancy dangerous at scale.

The AI chatbot is available to anyone: the lonely teenager, the person in early psychosis, the conspiracy theorist seeking validation, the grieving widow who just wants to feel heard. It brings the court’s most dangerous dynamic — the echo chamber that escalates false beliefs into catastrophic certainty — into every home, every pocket, every 3 AM moment of vulnerability.

IV. What Needs to Change

The paper’s implications for policy are direct. Blaming the user is indefensible — if an idealised rational agent cannot resist this dynamic, it is unreasonable to expect an ordinary user, possibly tired, lonely, anxious, and seeking the comfort of agreement, to do better. The current regulatory focus on hallucination — on AI that invents facts — is necessary but insufficient. A sycophantic AI that never invents a single fact can still drive delusional spiralling through selective omission.

What is required is structural.

  • Sycophancy must be measured and published. Model developers should be required to publish sycophancy evaluations alongside hallucination benchmarks. A system that scores well on factual accuracy but poorly on sycophancy is not a safe system.
  • Sycophantic design must be treated as a product liability issue. Regulators cannot treat a chatbot that drives a user to delusional spiralling as merely a “user experience quirk.” The legal frameworks of product liability exist precisely for cases where a design choice causes foreseeable harm at scale.
  • The training pipeline must be redesigned. As long as RLHF rewards approval and approval is correlated with agreement, the incentive to flatter is structurally embedded. The reward for honesty must be made higher than the reward for agreement — and this requires changing the objective function, not just fine-tuning the output.

Conclusion:
Goneril and Regan were not stupid. They understood exactly what Lear wanted to hear, and they told him. The court officials who told Aurangzeb his Deccan wars were righteous were not stupid either. They understood that survival required agreement. Stalin’s generals were not stupid. Goebbels was not stupid. The problem with sycophancy has never been stupidity. It has always been incentives.

The AI chatbot’s incentive is to agree. It was trained to agree. It is rewarded for agreeing. It will not stop agreeing because a user is veering toward delusion, because a belief is drifting from reality, because what someone needs to hear is the opposite of what they want to hear. It will simply agree more smoothly, more warmly, and more persistently than any human flatterer ever could.

Centuries after Cordelia was banished, we are still building kingdoms on flattery. The difference now is that the flatterer never sleeps, never tires, and is optimised — at the most fundamental level of its design — to never forget what you wanted to hear.


 

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  • The United Nations has shaped so much of global co-operation and regulation that we wouldn’t recognise our world today without the UN’s pervasive role in it. So many small details of our lives – such as postage and copyright laws – are subject to international co-operation nurtured by the UN.

    In its 75th year, however, the UN is in a difficult moment as the world faces climate crisis, a global pandemic, great power competition, trade wars, economic depression and a wider breakdown in international co-operation.

    Flags outside the UN building in Manhattan, New York.

    Still, the UN has faced tough times before – over many decades during the Cold War, the Security Council was crippled by deep tensions between the US and the Soviet Union. The UN is not as sidelined or divided today as it was then. However, as the relationship between China and the US sours, the achievements of global co-operation are being eroded.

    The way in which people speak about the UN often implies a level of coherence and bureaucratic independence that the UN rarely possesses. A failure of the UN is normally better understood as a failure of international co-operation.

    We see this recently in the UN’s inability to deal with crises from the ethnic cleansing of the Rohingya Muslims in Myanmar, to civil conflict in Syria, and the failure of the Security Council to adopt a COVID-19 resolution calling for ceasefires in conflict zones and a co-operative international response to the pandemic.

    The UN administration is not primarily to blame for these failures; rather, the problem is the great powers – in the case of COVID-19, China and the US – refusing to co-operate.

    Where states fail to agree, the UN is powerless to act.

    Marking the 75th anniversary of the official formation of the UN, when 50 founding nations signed the UN Charter on June 26, 1945, we look at some of its key triumphs and resounding failures.


    Five successes

    1. Peacekeeping

    The United Nations was created with the goal of being a collective security organisation. The UN Charter establishes that the use of force is only lawful either in self-defence or if authorised by the UN Security Council. The Security Council’s five permanent members, being China, US, UK, Russia and France, can veto any such resolution.

    The UN’s consistent role in seeking to manage conflict is one of its greatest successes.

    A key component of this role is peacekeeping. The UN under its second secretary-general, the Swedish statesman Dag Hammarskjöld – who was posthumously awarded the Nobel Peace prize after he died in a suspicious plane crash – created the concept of peacekeeping. Hammarskjöld was responding to the 1956 Suez Crisis, in which the US opposed the invasion of Egypt by its allies Israel, France and the UK.

    UN peacekeeping missions involve the use of impartial and armed UN forces, drawn from member states, to stabilise fragile situations. “The essence of peacekeeping is the use of soldiers as a catalyst for peace rather than as the instruments of war,” said then UN Secretary-General Javier Pérez de Cuéllar, when the forces won the 1988 Nobel Peace Prize following missions in conflict zones in the Middle East, Africa, Asia, Central America and Europe.

    However, peacekeeping also counts among the UN’s major failures.

    2. Law of the Sea

    Negotiated between 1973 and 1982, the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) set up the current international law of the seas. It defines states’ rights and creates concepts such as exclusive economic zones, as well as procedures for the settling of disputes, new arrangements for governing deep sea bed mining, and importantly, new provisions for the protection of marine resources and ocean conservation.

    Mostly, countries have abided by the convention. There are various disputes that China has over the East and South China Seas which present a conflict between power and law, in that although UNCLOS creates mechanisms for resolving disputes, a powerful state isn’t necessarily going to submit to those mechanisms.

    Secondly, on the conservation front, although UNCLOS is a huge step forward, it has failed to adequately protect oceans that are outside any state’s control. Ocean ecosystems have been dramatically transformed through overfishing. This is an ecological catastrophe that UNCLOS has slowed, but failed to address comprehensively.

    3. Decolonisation

    The idea of racial equality and of a people’s right to self-determination was discussed in the wake of World War I and rejected. After World War II, however, those principles were endorsed within the UN system, and the Trusteeship Council, which monitored the process of decolonisation, was one of the initial bodies of the UN.

    Although many national independence movements only won liberation through bloody conflicts, the UN has overseen a process of decolonisation that has transformed international politics. In 1945, around one third of the world’s population lived under colonial rule. Today, there are less than 2 million people living in colonies.

    When it comes to the world’s First Nations, however, the UN generally has done little to address their concerns, aside from the non-binding UN Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples of 2007.

    4. Human rights

    The Human Rights Declaration of 1948 for the first time set out fundamental human rights to be universally protected, recognising that the “inherent dignity and of the equal and inalienable rights of all members of the human family is the foundation of freedom, justice and peace in the world”.

    Since 1948, 10 human rights treaties have been adopted – including conventions on the rights of children and migrant workers, and against torture and discrimination based on gender and race – each monitored by its own committee of independent experts.

    The language of human rights has created a new framework for thinking about the relationship between the individual, the state and the international system. Although some people would prefer that political movements focus on ‘liberation’ rather than ‘rights’, the idea of human rights has made the individual person a focus of national and international attention.

    5. Free trade

    Depending on your politics, you might view the World Trade Organisation as a huge success, or a huge failure.

    The WTO creates a near-binding system of international trade law with a clear and efficient dispute resolution process.

    The majority Australian consensus is that the WTO is a success because it has been good for Australian famers especially, through its winding back of subsidies and tariffs.

    However, the WTO enabled an era of globalisation which is now politically controversial.

    Recently, the US has sought to disrupt the system. In addition to the trade war with China, the Trump Administration has also refused to appoint tribunal members to the WTO’s Appellate Body, so it has crippled the dispute resolution process. Of course, the Trump Administration is not the first to take issue with China’s trade strategies, which include subsidises for ‘State Owned Enterprises’ and demands that foreign firms transfer intellectual property in exchange for market access.

    The existence of the UN has created a forum where nations can discuss new problems, and climate change is one of them. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was set up in 1988 to assess climate science and provide policymakers with assessments and options. In 1992, the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change created a permanent forum for negotiations.

    However, despite an international scientific body in the IPCC, and 165 signatory nations to the climate treaty, global greenhouse gas emissions have continued to increase.

    Under the Paris Agreement, even if every country meets its greenhouse gas emission targets we are still on track for ‘dangerous warming’. Yet, no major country is even on track to meet its targets; while emissions will probably decline this year as a result of COVID-19, atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases will still increase.

    This illustrates a core conundrum of the UN in that it opens the possibility of global cooperation, but is unable to constrain states from pursuing their narrowly conceived self-interests. Deep co-operation remains challenging.

    Five failures of the UN

    1. Peacekeeping

    During the Bosnian War, Dutch peacekeeping forces stationed in the town of Srebrenica, declared a ‘safe area’ by the UN in 1993, failed in 1995 to stop the massacre of more than 8000 Muslim men and boys by Bosnian Serb forces. This is one of the most widely discussed examples of the failures of international peacekeeping operations.

    On the massacre’s 10th anniversary, then UN Secretary General Kofi Annan wrote that the UN had “made serious errors of judgement, rooted in a philosophy of impartiality”, contributing to a mass murder that would “haunt our history forever”.

    If you look at some of the other infamous failures of peacekeeping missions – in places such as Rwanda, Somalia and Angola – ­it is the limited powers given to peacekeeping operations that have resulted in those failures.

    2. The invasion of Iraq

    The invasion of Iraq by the US in 2003, which was unlawful and without Security Council authorisation, reflects the fact that the UN is has very limited capacity to constrain the actions of great powers.

    The Security Council designers created the veto power so that any of the five permanent members could reject a Council resolution, so in that way it is programmed to fail when a great power really wants to do something that the international community generally condemns.

    In the case of the Iraq invasion, the US didn’t veto a resolution, but rather sought authorisation that it did not get. The UN, if you go by the idea of collective security, should have responded by defending Iraq against this unlawful use of force.

    The invasion proved a humanitarian disaster with the loss of more than 400,000 lives, and many believe that it led to the emergence of the terrorist Islamic State.

    3. Refugee crises

    The UN brokered the 1951 Refugee Convention to address the plight of people displaced in Europe due to World War II; years later, the 1967 Protocol removed time and geographical restrictions so that the Convention can now apply universally (although many countries in Asia have refused to sign it, owing in part to its Eurocentric origins).

    Despite these treaties, and the work of the UN High Commission for Refugees, there is somewhere between 30 and 40 million refugees, many of them, such as many Palestinians, living for decades outside their homelands. This is in addition to more than 40 million people displaced within their own countries.

    While for a long time refugee numbers were reducing, in recent years, particularly driven by the Syrian conflict, there have been increases in the number of people being displaced.

    During the COVID-19 crisis, boatloads of Rohingya refugees were turned away by port after port.  This tragedy has echoes of pre-World War II when ships of Jewish refugees fleeing Nazi Germany were refused entry by multiple countries.

    And as a catastrophe of a different kind looms, there is no international framework in place for responding to people who will be displaced by rising seas and other effects of climate change.

    4. Conflicts without end

    Across the world, there is a shopping list of unresolved civil conflicts and disputed territories.

    Palestine and Kashmir are two of the longest-running failures of the UN to resolve disputed lands. More recent, ongoing conflicts include the civil wars in Syria and Yemen.

    The common denominator of unresolved conflicts is either division among the great powers, or a lack of international interest due to the geopolitical stakes not being sufficiently high.  For instance, the inaction during the Rwandan civil war in the 1990s was not due to a division among great powers, but rather a lack of political will to engage.

    In Syria, by contrast, Russia and the US have opposing interests and back opposing sides: Russia backs the government of the Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad, whereas the US does not.

    5. Acting like it’s 1945

    The UN is increasingly out of step with the reality of geopolitics today.

    The permanent members of the Security Council reflect the division of power internationally at the end of World War II. The continuing exclusion of Germany, Japan, and rising powers such as India and Indonesia, reflects the failure to reflect the changing balance of power.

    Also, bodies such as the IMF and the World Bank, which are part of the UN system, continue to be dominated by the West. In response, China has created potential rival institutions such as the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank.

    Western domination of UN institutions undermines their credibility. However, a more fundamental problem is that institutions designed in 1945 are a poor fit with the systemic global challenges – of which climate change is foremost –  that we face today.